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Key Takeaways
- 5,700 / 5,650 / 5,550 — the three pivots that define near-term character of the trend.
Three zones matter for SPX into year-end:
**5,700 — 20-day SMA + October swing-low cluster.** Bulls need this to hold on closing basis to keep the up-trend constructive.
**5,650 — pre-FOMC breakout level.** Loss here invalidates the September-October breakout.
**5,550 — 100-day SMA + 50% retracement of the Sept-Oct rally.** Last line before a deeper correction.
**Watch:** VIX > 18 + breakdown of 5,650 is the bear signal worth respecting.
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